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Аналитика и прогноз курса GBP/USD и FTSE

GBP/USD, currency, FTSE 100, index, Аналитика и прогноз курса GBP/USD и FTSE

Пара GBP/USD растет после оптимистичных данных по занятости

Фунт торгуется с повышением после обнадеживающих данных по занятости в Великобритании, восстановившись со вчерашнего минимума 1,30. Уровень безработицы снизился до 3,9% за 3 месяца до января по сравнению с 4,1% и превысил прогнозы в 4%. Безработица в настоящее время находится ниже уровня, существовавшего до пандемии, что подчеркивает напряженность на рынке труда.

Количество заявителей сократилось еще на 48,1 тыс. в феврале после падения на 31 тыс. в январе. Средний заработок, включая бонусы, вырос на 4,8% в годовом исчислении, что усилило инфляционное давление и усилило давление на Банк Англии с целью повторного повышения процентных ставок.

Доллар США падает по всем направлениям, так как доходность казначейских облигаций США снизилась, а инвесторы ожидают данных по инфляции ИЦП в США и завтрашнего объявления ставки ФРС.

Ожидается, что индекс потребительских цен вырастет до 8,7% в годовом исчислении в феврале по сравнению с 8,3%.

Где дальше будет курс GBP/USD?

Где дальше будет курс GBP/USD?

Пара GBP/USD вчера нашла поддержку на критическом уровне 1.30 и отскочила примерно до уровня закрытия пятницы 1.3030.

График по-прежнему медвежий, так как цена торгуется ниже своих 50 и 100 SMA на 4-часовом графике, а RSI остается ниже 50, что говорит о том, что впереди может быть еще один спад, который находится вне зоны перепроданности.

Продавцам потребуется пробить уровень 1.30, чтобы спровоцировать более глубокую распродажу к круглому числу 1.29 и 1.2820, минимуму ноября 2020 года.

Между тем, покупатели ожидают движения выше 1.3080, минимума 8 марта, чтобы выставить 50 sma на 1.3160 и максимум прошлой недели 1.32.

Индекс FTSE падает по мере того, как Китай блокирует все больше городов

Индекс FTSE и его европейские аналоги движутся к отрицательному открытию, отслеживая слабость в Азии в одночасье.

Китайские данные были оптимистичными: промышленное производство выросло на 7,5%, а розничные продажи подскочили на 6,7%.

Однако опасения по поводу роста числа случаев заболевания COVID и усиления ограничений на изоляцию во второй по величине экономике мира негативно сказываются на настроениях к риску и снижают цены на сырьевые товары по всем направлениям.

Нефть торгуется еще на 5% ниже, так что основные нефтяные компании, скорее всего, окажутся под давлением. Неблагородные металлы также страдают, поскольку в Китае, крупнейшем в мире потребителе металлов, 45 миллионов жителей заблокированы.

Мирные переговоры между Россией и Украиной также находятся в центре внимания и могут повлиять на настроения по поводу рисков в течение всей сессии.

Где дальше будет курс FTSE?

Где дальше будет курс FTSE?

Вчера индекс FTSE столкнулся с сопротивлением на уровне 7225, уровне, который несколько раз оказывал поддержку и сопротивление в течение прошлого года. Продавцы вновь вышли на рынок здесь и снизили индекс до ключевого психологического уровня 7000.

RSI поддерживает дальнейшее снижение, пока он остается вне зоны перепроданности. Продавцы захотят увидеть прорыв ниже 7000, чтобы открыть дверь к 6950 перед 6820.

Покупатели будут искать движение выше 7225, чтобы выставить 100 sma на 7350 и 7400, максимуме ноября.

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Symbols GBP/USD, FTSE 100

Other analytics by this trader

Two green reasons why Aluminum prices may continue to rise
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Aug 17, 2021 Read
Dogecoin rose by 16% after the words of Elon Musk and Mark Cuban
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Aug 16, 2021 Read
The BTC/USD exchange rate from August 16 to 22. Will Bitcoin grow to $54,000
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Aug 16, 2021 Read
Analysis and forecast of the oil price for today and August 13-16, 2021
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Aug 12, 2021 Read
AUD/USD forex forecast and analytics today and August 13-16, 2021
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Aug 12, 2021 Read
USD/JPY Dollar Yen forecast for today and August 12-13, 2021
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Aug 11, 2021 Read
Analysis and forecast of the oil price for today and August 12-13, 2021
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Aug 11, 2021 Read
USD/CAD forecast Canadian dollar for today and August 12-13, 2021
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Aug 11, 2021 Read
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