Trading signals and online forecasts Gold

USD/JPY: traders' attention is focused on the details of the BoJ meetingThe USD/JPY pair remains in the upward correction phase, trading near the mark of 150.54, against the background of the predicted behavior of the Bank of Japan and disappointing macroeconomic data from the country.Market participants are carefully studying the published minutes of the last meeting of the regulator, which confirmed that the Bank of Japan does not intend to radically change its current monetary policy. The document emphasizes that a potential increase in the key rate will not be regarded as a tightening, but rather an adjustment within the framework of the current monetary stimulus conditions. The report also indicates that in January, the volume of government bond repurchases amounted to 4.5 trillion yen, down from 4.9 trillion a month earlier, maintaining a steady decline rate of 400.0 billion yen. Meanwhile, fresh statistics indicate a deterioration in business activity: the PMI in industry in March fell to 48.3 points from February 49.0, with expectations at 49.2, and the indicator in the services sector immediately dropped to 49.5 points against the previous value of 53.7, leaving the growth zone for the first time in 2025.Resistance levels: 151.30, 153.40.Support levels: 150.00, 147.10.USD/CAD: Ottawa prepares reform for market integrationThe USD/CAD pair is showing sluggish volatility around the 1.4315 mark, as traders wait and are in no hurry to take active action until clearer signals from the macroeconomic front appear.On Monday, the attention of American market participants was focused on preliminary March business activity data: the S&P Global manufacturing index fell from 52.7 to 49.8 points, which turned out to be worse than expected, while the services sector surprised with an increase from 51.0 to 54.3 points, providing strong support to the composite index, which rose to 53.5 points. Today, the focus is on reports on new home sales and housing price dynamics: according to forecasts, the price index may decrease to 0.2% month—on—month and rise to 4.7% year-on-year. Earlier, sales in the retail market in Canada decreased by 0.6% in January after an increase of 2.6%, while the base indicator slowed from 2.9% to 0.2%.Meanwhile, Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney presented an ambitious project to form a single economic space within the country in response to the tightening of US tariff policy. The plan provides for the lifting of federal restrictions as part of an internal free trade agreement, which should simplify the movement of goods and ensure greater labor mobility for federally licensed professionals. Carney also announced investments in logistics infrastructure aimed at connecting energy regions with rail and road hubs, stressing that the central government will recognize the evaluation of regional projects as equivalent to the federal one, thereby speeding up the process of implementing major economic initiatives.Resistance levels: 1.4350, 1.4400, 1.4451, 1.4472.Support levels: 1.4300, 1.4250, 1.4200, 1.4145.NZD/USD: New Zealand economy strengthened in the fourth quarterThe New Zealand dollar stabilized against the US currency, remaining close to the 0.5725 mark after a significant decline recorded a day earlier.The main impetus for strengthening the position of the New Zealand currency was the trade statistics for February published the day before: the foreign trade balance showed a surplus for the first time in several months, amounting to 510 million dollars due to an increase in export earnings to 6.74 billion and a reduction in imports to 6.23 billion.In addition to foreign trade, the New Zealand economy was also supported by its recovery from the recent deep recession, which was not caused by pandemic restrictions: in the last quarter of last year, GDP unexpectedly increased 0.7%, exceeding the consensus forecast of analysts, who estimated an increase of only 0.5%. Senior Expert at Westpac Banking Corp. Michael Gordon explained that the final figures were close to the most optimistic market expectations. A positive trend was recorded in eleven of the sixteen key sectors of the economy, with real estate and services, social security and healthcare, as well as the retail segment and the hotel business among the growth leaders. At the same time, analysts believe that the prospects for accelerating the recovery are still limited, and this allows the New Zealand financial regulator to maintain its policy of lowering interest rates to boost domestic consumption and improve the business climate.Resistance levels: 0.5750, 0.5775, 0.5800, 0.5830.Support levels: 0.5700, 0.5672, 0.5650, 0.5633.Gold market analysisGold (XAU/USD) is showing cautious growth in Asian trading, gradually recovering losses after a two-day correction, during which quotes rolled back from historical peaks, approaching the level of 3015.00. Investors are assessing the prospects for further developments amid reports that the White House's new tariff policy may turn out to be less stringent than expected: restrictions are likely to affect only countries with negative trade balances with the United States, excluding more loyal partners. Nevertheless, tensions remain: the EU has so far been targeted in the supply of aluminum and steel, but a wider range of sanctions is possible, which creates additional nervousness in the markets.Along with this, the weakening of interest in gold was the result of growing optimism in the global economy, supported by rising yields on US Treasury securities, which reduces the attractiveness of protective assets. Yesterday's statistics on business activity in the United States only reinforced this trend: the S&P Global services sector index rose sharply to 54.3 points, significantly exceeding expectations of 51.2 points, while the manufacturing index fell below the key 50 mark, reaching 49.8 points with a forecast of 51.9. Meanwhile, the final composite index showed a steady increase from 51.6 to 53.5 points. Today, market participants will switch their attention to a fresh batch of macroeconomic reports from the United States: at 15:00 (GMT+2), new home sales data will be released, as well as updated values on the housing price index. Analysts predict a slowdown in monthly growth from 0.4% to 0.2%, while in annual terms — from 4.5% to 4.7%. These figures will become key indicators of the sustainability of American consumer demand and may affect the dynamics of gold in the short term.Resistance levels: 3025.00, 3038.21, 3057.40, 3075.00.Support levels: 3000.00, 2980.00, 2956.19, ...

USD/CHF: quarterly employment in Switzerland in the spotlightThe USD/CHF pair is in the correction phase, trading around 0.8969, with the potential for further decline amid strong macroeconomic data from Switzerland.A stable labor market remains one of the key factors supporting the franc. In the fourth quarter, employment in the non-agricultural sector increased by 0.9%, equivalent to 48.3 thousand new jobs. At the same time, the number of open vacancies decreased by 17.1% year-on-year, which indicates a high level of job occupancy. The share of companies planning to expand their staff was 11.7%, while only 4.7% of employers intend to reduce staff. This stability in the labor market provides the Swiss National Bank with additional arguments in favor of further lowering the interest rate, which is likely to reach 0.00% by the end of the year.Resistance levels: 0.9000, 0.9120.Support levels: 0.8940, 0.8810.AUD/USD: the exchange rate moved to correction before the inflation reportThe Australian dollar is showing moderate growth in the AUD/USD pair during the Asian session, correcting the previous two-day decline. After a pullback from local highs on December 12, the exchange rate is testing the 0.6350 level, trying to gain a foothold higher, while traders expect new factors that can affect the dynamics. Meanwhile, the sale of shares of leading Australian banks has stopped after eight sessions of decline caused by the first decrease in interest rates since November 2020 and an increase in overdue debt. In particular, the capitalization of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia has decreased by about 25 billion Australian dollars during this time. The key event for the market will be the publication of January inflation data in Australia, which is scheduled for tomorrow at 02:30 (GMT+2). According to forecasts, the annual consumer price index may rise from 2.5% to 2.6%, which may support the national currency. Investors' attention will also be focused on statistics on completed construction: the indicator for the fourth quarter of 2024 is expected to slow down from 1.6% to 1.0%.The final report on US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2024 will be released on the US market on Thursday at 15:30 (GMT+2), and experts do not predict a revision of the value from 2.3%. On the same day, data on applications for unemployment benefits and January orders for durable goods are expected to be published, which may grow by 2.5% after a December decline of -2.2%. On Friday at 15:30 (GMT+2), market participants will assess the key inflation indicator for the US Federal Reserve — the price index of personal consumption expenditures. Analysts expect a slowdown in the base indicator from 2.8% to 2.6% year-on-year, while monthly growth may accelerate from 0.2% to 0.3%. The overall index is also expected to reach 2.5%, adding 0.3% over the month.Resistance levels: 0.6373, 0.6408, 0.6450, 0.6478.Support levels: 0.6330, 0.6300, 0.6274, 0.6250.Gold market analysisDuring the Asian trading session, gold is showing a decline, rolling back from historical highs recorded the day before and testing support at 2935.75. Pressure on gold is exerted by a decrease in geopolitical tensions associated with the likely progress of peace talks on the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. The weakening demand for protective assets contributes to the reorientation of investors to riskier instruments, which further limits the metal's growth potential.Market participants' attention is also focused on the latest economic data from the United States. According to the S&P Global report, the business activity index in the manufacturing sector rose from 51.2 to 51.6 points in February, exceeding the projected 51.5 points, while the services sector saw a sharp decline from 52.9 to 49.7 points, which turned out to be worse than the expected 53.0 points. Additional pressure on the dollar was exerted by a decrease in the University of Michigan consumer confidence index in January from 67.8 to 64.7 points, despite neutral forecasts. Also, data on the Chicago Federal Reserve's national activity index was released yesterday, which fell from 0.18 to -0.03 points in January, reflecting a weakening in economic activity. The December housing price index from S&P/Case-Shiller will be published today at 16:00 (GMT+2), and at 17:00 (GMT+2) and 17:30 (GMT+2), markets expect the publication of business activity indices in the manufacturing sector from the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond and the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas. which can set the further direction of the dollar's movement and, accordingly, affect the dynamics of gold.Resistance levels: 2956.19, 2980.00, 3000.00, 3025.00.Support levels: 2920.00, 2900.00, 2875.00, 2858.06.Crude Oil market analysisThe price of Brent crude oil remains under pressure, correcting in a downward movement and trading just below the 75.00 mark. The market is influenced by two factors at once: the trade policy of US President Donald Trump, which implies possible changes in import duties, as well as the prospects for an increase in oil supplies from Iraq. These circumstances increase uncertainty and create negative expectations among investors.Iraqi Oil Minister Hayan Abdel Ghani announced that the transportation of raw materials from Kurdistan to Turkey will resume next week. The cost of the supplied oil will be $ 16.0 per barrel, and the state-owned SOMO company will handle its sale. According to preliminary estimates, the volume of supplies in the first months will range from 300.0 to 500.0 thousand barrels per day, which may increase pressure on the market.Additional attention of traders is focused on the report of the American Petroleum Institute (API) on fuel reserves, which will be released today at 23:30 (GMT+2). Experts predict that after the previous increase of 3.339 million barrels, the figure will change slightly. Tomorrow at 17:00 (GMT+2), data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) will be published, and if they confirm the positive dynamics of last week, when stocks increased by 4,633 million barrels, this may strengthen the current trend in the market.Resistance levels: 75.30, 78.00.Support levels: 73.70, ...

EUR/USD: pressure on the euro has increased due to the negotiations between Russia and the United StatesThe EUR/USD pair shows mixed fluctuations during the Asian session, holding near the level of 1.0450. Market activity remains weak as investors wait for new factors to appear that could affect the exchange rate. The attention of bidders remains focused on the situation surrounding the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, as well as the potential consequences of the first negotiations between the United States and Russia, which recently concluded in Saudi Arabia. Analysts evaluate their results cautiously, noting that, despite hopes for a softening of the confrontation, there remain risks of marginalizing the role of the European Union in this process, which may exacerbate political instability, especially in France and Germany.Macroeconomic statistics for the eurozone, published the day before, gave mixed signals, but reports from the Center for European Economic Research (ZEW) made a small positive. In Germany, the business confidence index rose from 10.3 to 26.0 points in February, exceeding the forecast of 15.5 points, and the assessment of current economic conditions rose from -90.4 to -88.5 points against the expected -90.0 points. In the eurozone as a whole, economic sentiment improved from 18.0 to 24.2 points, although preliminary estimates suggested 24.3 points. According to a Bloomberg survey, most analysts believe that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut the interest rate below 2.00% by early 2026, despite previously expected three consecutive cuts of 25 basis points in 2025, from the current 2.75% to 2.00%. Experts note that the neutral level of the key rate, at which it does not have a restraining or stimulating effect on the economy, is estimated in the range of 1.75–2.25%. At the same time, any further steps taken by the regulator will depend on a detailed analysis of the macroeconomic situation and key indicators.Resistance levels: 1.0467, 1.0513, 1.0554, 1.0600.Support levels: 1.0434, 1.0400, 1.0350, 1.0300.GBP/USD: annual inflation in the UK rose to 3.0%Against the background of the stability of the British currency, the GBP/USD pair failed to develop an upward movement and remains near the 1.2617 mark during the Asian session.In January, the dynamics of inflation in the UK showed mixed results: the consumer price index decreased from 0.3% to -0.1% on a monthly basis, while in annual terms the indicator increased from 2.5% to 3.0%. The achieved value significantly exceeds the Bank of England's target limit of 2.0%, which may complicate plans to ease monetary policy. Core inflation, excluding the impact of food and energy prices, accelerated from 3.2% to 3.7% year-on-year. Taking into account the neutral employment report, where the unemployment rate remained at 4.4%, experts predict that at the March 20 meeting, the British regulator will keep the key rate at 4.50%.Resistance levels: 1.2680, 1.2890.Support levels: 1.2570, 1.2330.USD/JPY: the pair went down, breaking through the support of 153.23–152.69The USD/JPY pair rose to the level of 151.70 after the publication of macroeconomic statistics from Japan at the beginning of the week.According to the results of the fourth quarter, gross domestic product (GDP) grew by 2.8% year-on-year, which significantly exceeded the projected 1.0%. The previously published value was revised upward from 1.2% to 1.7%. On a quarterly basis, the indicator increased to 0.7%, while preliminary expectations were 0.3%, and adjusted data for the previous period changed from 0.3% to 0.4%. Against this background, the USD/JPY pair sank to the support level of 151.30. At the same time, exports accelerated from 2.8% to 7.2% in January, but fell short of the projected 7.9%, while imports increased from 1.7% to 16.7%, exceeding analysts' expectations of 9.7%. This led to an increase in the trade deficit to -2758.8 billion yen from 132.5 billion previously, while forecasts suggested a decrease to only -2100.0 billion yen. On Friday at 01:30 (GMT+2), the publication of inflation data for January is scheduled, where the annual consumer price index may reach 3.7%, and the base indicator is 3.1%. The expected values can strengthen the yen exchange rate, as they will create additional conditions for further tightening of monetary policy by the Bank of Japan.Resistance levels: 156.47, 158.88.Support levels: 151.30, 149.57, 144.90.Gold market analysisThe XAU/USD pair is showing a slight decline near the 2935.35 mark, remaining in the area of historical highs recorded at the beginning of last week. A day earlier, gold was steadily rising in price, helped by an increase in interest in protective assets amid expectations of monetary policy easing by the world's largest regulators. This week, the Reserve Bank of Australia and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand announced a review of lending conditions, with the latter immediately reducing its key rate by 50 basis points, as predicted.Investors are closely monitoring the development of diplomatic processes aimed at resolving the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, as serious geopolitical risks remain along with hopes for its completion. In particular, there is a possibility that the White House may impose additional duties on European imports due to the divergence of positions between the EU and the United States on the terms of the end of hostilities. The rapid resolution of individual issues can, in turn, lead to new crises, especially in politically tense countries such as Germany and France.Resistance levels: 2942.65, 2965.00, 2980.00, 3000.00.Support levels: 2920.00, 2900.00, 2875.00, ...

GBP/USD: Pound strengthens amid British GDP growthThe British pound continues to strengthen in the GBP/USD pair, correcting the downward trend that has dominated since mid-January. At the beginning of the week, quotes reached the level of 1.2451 (Murray [4/8]), which was due to the statement by US President Donald Trump on the introduction of 25.0% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. However, further growth is being held back by expectations of a prolonged period of high interest rates from the US Federal Reserve System.Contradictory comments by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell exerted additional pressure on the dollar. In his speech to Congress, he noted the stability of the economy and the labor market, as well as a steady slowdown in inflation, which allowed officials not to rush to lower rates. However, data on the consumer price index released on Tuesday showed an increase in inflation from 2.9% to 3.0% year—on-year, and the base rate from 3.2% to 3.3%. In response, Powell was forced to adjust his position, admitting that the targets had not yet been reached, and that the regulator would probably have to keep rates at the current level for longer. This has led to a revision of market expectations: investors now assume that the first reduction in borrowing costs will take place not in June, but closer to the end of the year.The pound was supported by unexpectedly strong UK GDP data for the fourth quarter. The country's economy grew by 0.1% in quarterly terms, despite the projected decline by the same level, and year-on-year the indicator reached 1.4%, exceeding expectations of 1.1%. This factor reduces the likelihood of aggressive monetary policy easing by the Bank of England in the coming months, which supports the position of the British currency.Resistance levels: 1.2512, 1.2695, 1.2817.Support levels: 1.2390, 1.2207, 1.2085.USD/JPY: US deficit reaches $128.64 billionThe US dollar is showing mixed dynamics in the USD/JPY pair, holding near the 154.35 mark during the Asian session. Quotes are testing the resistance level for an upward breakdown, while the US currency remains supported by strong inflation data for January, published the day before.The report on the consumer price index recorded an increase from 2.9% to 3.0% in annual terms, and the base indicator rose from 3.2% to 3.3%, while analysts predicted that the indicator would remain at the same level and slow down to 3.1%. These data confirm the statement by the head of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, that the regulator does not yet see any reason for accelerated monetary policy easing, especially against the background of inflationary pressure risks due to the protectionist course of the White House. In addition, the US budget deficit increased from $87.0 billion to $128.64 billion, which is almost six times higher than in January 2023. Experts attribute this growth to increased government spending on healthcare, social security, and debt interest payments. Today, market participants will focus on statistics on industrial inflation: the base index is expected to slow down from 3.5% to 3.3% year—on-year, and in monthly terms, an increase from 0.0% to 0.3%.Meanwhile, the head of the Bank of Japan, Kazuo Ueda, stressed that the regulator takes into account the likelihood of prolonged high prices for food and other essential goods, which may affect the inflation expectations of the population. In January, the Bank of Japan raised its key interest rate to 0.50%, the highest level in 17 years, declaring its intention to achieve stable price growth supported by steady wage increases. In addition, Kazuo Ueda confirmed that a review of the government bond purchase program will be presented in the summer: earlier, the Bank of Japan announced plans to reduce their volume to 3.0 trillion yen from January to March 2026.Resistance levels: 154.50, 155.00, 155.50, 156.00.Support levels: 153.70, 153.27, 152.53, 151.50.Gold market analysisGold is showing moderate growth, once again approaching historical highs above $ 2,900 per ounce: at the moment, XAU/USD is testing the level of 2920.0, while traders are awaiting the publication of fresh data on US manufacturing inflation and weekly statistics on applications for unemployment benefits. According to forecasts, the number of initial applications on February 7 may decrease from 219.0 thousand to 215.0 thousand, and repeat applications from 1.886 million to 1.88 million (for the week of January 31). In addition, experts predict a decrease in the basic producer index (excluding food and energy) from 3.5% to 3.3% year—on-year, and a monthly increase from 0.0% to 0.3%.Meanwhile, according to RBC, by January 1, 2025, the remaining precious metals and stones in Russian accounts amounted to 325.4 billion rubles, which is equivalent to 38.1 tons of gold — half as much as in the fall of 2023, when a three-year maximum was recorded. According to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, last year, reserves of precious metals in monetary terms decreased by 23.6%, while physical reserves of gold fell by 46.4%, losing more than 33 tons. This is the largest reduction since 2020, when, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, stocks decreased by 34.5 tons.Resistance levels: 2920.00, 2942.65, 2965.00, 2980.00.Support levels: 2900.00, 2875.00, 2858.06, 2845.00.Crude Oil market analysisThe price of Brent Crude Oil remains in the local sideways range after the publication of the OPEC+ report, holding above $ 74.0 per barrel during Asian trading.According to the report, in January, the participating countries increased production by 13 thousand barrels per day, however, taking into account voluntary restrictions, the actual volume turned out to be 251 thousand barrels per day below the established limit. With the allowed daily limit of 35.427 million barrels, real production amounted to 35.176 million, which looks positive against the background of regular quota exceedances last year. According to OPEC+ forecasts, global oil demand in 2025 and 2026 will grow by 1.4 million barrels per day, reaching 105.2 million and 106.63 million barrels, respectively. The main consumers are China, India, other Asian countries, as well as countries in the Middle East and Latin America. The forecast for production in the United States was revised down by 50,000 barrels per day, and now the estimated level is 13.47 million barrels per day, which is lower than preliminary estimates made after President Donald Trump's statements about the expansion of offshore production along the American coast.Additional pressure on Brent oil is exerted by data on reserves. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), their volume increased by 9.043 million barrels after a previous increase of 5.025 million barrels. According to a report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), oil reserves also continued to grow, adding 4.070 million barrels after a jump of 8.664 million barrels earlier.Support levels: 72.91, 69.83.Resistance levels: 79.22, ...

The year 2022 on world markets will largely be determined by the tightening of monetary policy in the United States, and the first week of the new year confirmed this. The minutes of the Fed's December meeting published last week showed a significant tightening of the position of the regulator's representatives – Fed members believe that the rate can be raised as early as March, and also see a faster reduction in the balance sheet as appropriate. Representatives of the regulator believe that the current economic conditions are already in many ways conducive to tightening the labor market, some even noted the recovery of the labor market already sufficient for such actions, although the majority still expects further improvement in the labor situation. Against this background, it is worth noting the publication of December labor data in the United States, which came out ambiguous. On the one hand, employment in December increased by only 200 thousand. The Bloomberg consensus forecast assumed an employment growth of 450 thousand, and the actual growth rate of the indicator was the lowest since the beginning of 2021. Nevertheless, in many respects such weak employment growth is explained by seasonal adjustment, and the unemployment rate in December fell more than expected. Thus, the indicator has updated the next lows since the beginning of the pandemic, dropping to 3.90% against the expected 4.10%. The unemployment rate continues to approach a historic low of 3.40%, and labor statistics have further increased fears in the market of an imminent tightening of the PREP in the United States. As a result, on Friday, the yields of ten-year US treasuries at the moment exceeded 1.80% per annum - the maximum since the beginning of the pandemic. Today they have returned to these levels again.This week, the dynamics in the market will continue to be determined by expectations for the actions of regulators - investors will follow the statements of representatives of the Fed and the ECB, as well as the publication of price data in the United States for December. Statistics published last week showed an increase in inflation in the EU to 5.00% YoY. As a result, the topics of price growth in December updated the historical maximum, while analysts expected a slight slowdown in price growth. The situation on the supply side also has high inflation in the United States. The December business activity indices indicated a slight easing of logistical problems, however, the further deterioration of the epidemiological situation again intensified disruptions in logistics chains, which does not lead to a significant slowdown in price growth. The FAO World Food Price index fell in December for the first time since July, but food inflation remains at elevated levels. Against this background, US inflation data is likely to continue to bring the Fed rate hike closer, intensifying the negative in the markets.The main event for the oil market in early 2022 was the OPEC+ meeting. However, as expected, it was decided to stick to the current plan to increase production. Nevertheless, the cartel lowered its forecasts for a surplus in the oil market, which allowed Brent crude futures to exceed the level of $80/bbl. Moreover, against the background of interruptions in the supply of black gold from Kazakhstan and Libya, quotations were close to $83/bbl. However, at the end of the week they declined from these levels, today Brent futures are growing by 0.35% and are trading around $82.05/bbl. The main negative for oil this week may be related to the potential strengthening of the dollar amid expectations of a tightening of the PREP in the United States. However, in the absence of a significant strengthening of the dollar, Brent futures may still exceed the levels of $83/bbl– - the quotes may be supported by another weekly decline in oil ...

Experts of the largest US bank Citigroup reported that, according to their estimates, gold in 2023 will cost about $1,500 per troy ounce. They also assumed that the average price of this precious metal in the coming year will be close to $1,685. However, analysts of the American bank expect an increase in the value of gold in this winter period to a range from $1,825 to $1,850 per ounce. However, in the future, the value of gold will begin to decline. Citigroup is 60% confident in this forecast for the next two years, while there is another version of their forecast, in which experts are 30% confident. And this option provides for an increase in gold prices to $2,100 in the middle of 2022, which can be realized subject to a significant increase in private and public debt. During trading on Tuesday, December 14, gold declined in price by 0.01% to $1,788.15 per ounce. The value of silver decreased by 0.16%, amounting to ...

Recently, I see that more and more traders are starting to switch from Forex to binary options. This is understandable, because it is easier to trade binary options, and profitability, of course, is also higher. In general, I myself gave up Forex in favor of binary options 6 years ago. But since the topic is so relevant now, let's figure out which is better – Forex or binary options, comparing the pros and cons of both types of earnings.Forex and binary options: a brief comparisonGet and sign up: profitabilitySo, let's start our comparison with such an important point as profitability. When trading binary options, the profit ranges from 75 to 95% of the invested investments. In Forex, the profit is unlimited. However, in order to get a high percentage of earnings on Forex, you will have to correctly predict large price fluctuations, whereas only 1 point is enough on binary options. I think there is no need to explain that binary options trading is more profitable in the long run.Read more: What are binary options?Is risk a noble cause? What is the difference between Forex and binary options?The next difference between binary options and forex is the risks themselves. Forex trading involves constant manual work with risks due to the correct placement of orders for opening and closing transactions (stop losses and take profits). On the one hand, this is convenient, since it is always possible to rearrange orders and wait for the very moment when it will be possible to make a profit or breakeven… But on the other hand, as a rule, a Forex trader needs to have an impressive deposit in order to withstand long drawdowns. In addition, the trader is constantly experiencing psychological pressure (whether he closed the deal on time, whether he placed orders correctly, etc.). It is also important to say that traders who do not have large deposits are forced to use the broker's leverage, which multiplies not only the profits received, but also, of course, losses.Binary options brokers relieve traders of psychological responsibility for placing orders. It is enough for a trader to decide on:the size of the bet (as a rule, its size ranges from $5 to $25),the end time of the transaction.Thus, all work with risks consists in trading with a minimum percentage of the deposit. So, in fact, Forex differs from binary options only by a risk management system. It is not enough for a forex trader to open a deal in the right direction, he also needs to calculate how many points the chart will pass and where to put a stop loss / take profit correctly.Read more: What is Forex in simple wordsAnalysis is the mainThe same tools are used for analysis and forecasting in both types of trading: indicators, news, volumes, price patterns, etc. It turns out that, other things being equal, it is easier to do analysis for binary options, since it is enough to correctly predict only the direction of the price. In Forex, in addition to the direction, as I wrote above, you need to determine the approximate number of points in order to correctly place orders to close transactions.Time is moneyThis point can be interpreted in two ways. For someone, it is important how much time trading takes in total, for someone this moment is not fundamental. In any case, it is clear that Forex takes much more time than binary options. After all, you need to constantly work with orders to influence the outcome of the transaction.Number of assetsThe most popular assets on binary options and Forex are currency pairs and precious metals (in particular, EUR/USD and Gold). However, if the choice is limited for a Forex trader, then a binary options trader has alternative options. This:stocks,indexes,futures,the so-called "pairs" (the ratio of shares of one company to shares of another, for example: google/apple).Thus, a larger number of potentially profitable trades will be available to you on binary options.Read more: What is a spread in trading Forex and stocksOnce again about money: commissions and spreadsActually, the difference between Forex and binary options is also the trading conditions themselves. Forex traders must necessarily pay the broker the spread from each open transaction.  What is a spread? The spread is the difference between the purchase price of an asset (bid) and the sale price of an asset (ask) (roughly speaking, the same difference can be seen at any currency exchange point). At the same time, traders do not pay any commissions to the binary options broker, either from investments or profits.Lend a shoulder to a friend: leverageA very important point, in my opinion. Applies only to Forex, but nevertheless it is important to pronounce it. The minimum lot (financial contract) on Forex is $100,000. Naturally, an ordinary person cannot start trading with such amounts. In this regard, the Forex broker is ready to provide its clients with leverage. For example, with a deposit of $1,000, the broker is ready to "add" $99,000 to the trader so that he can enter the market. However, the broker will not risk his money, instead he will limit the maximum amount of losses on the account to 1% (the same $ 1000). What does this lead to? To the fact that traders often start trading large lots and quickly lose money.What to choose, forex or binary options?So, binary options or still Forex? My answer to this question will not be objective, because I made my choice a long time ago. For those who have not yet decided, I can give one piece of advice – decide for yourself which type of trading is most suitable for you. It is difficult to predict in advance which method or strategy will bring the greatest profit, but one thing I can say for sure - binary options today provide the lowest entry barriers to the world of trading, making it simple and accessible to everyone. And a large number of binary options brokers allows everyone to find the most convenient platform for themselves. By the way, some brokers have forex simulators built into the platform.Well, I suggest that all novice traders read the article about the main mistakes that beginners make in trading.Read more: Forex or Binary Options? The difference between Binary Options and ...

At the height of the 2020 crisis caused by COVID-19, the price of gold soared to a record $2,073 per ounceAt that time, some experts predicted a further increase in gold to $2300-2500 per ounce, as bidders sought to protect their capital from a sharp market collapse and growing uncertainty.But in the fall of 2020, the market situation changed dramatically. Active vaccination of the population against COVID-19, gradual adaptation to new working conditions and the subsequent recovery of the world economy have significantly weakened interest in gold and other protective assets.In 2021, the news background for gold remains mostly negative. The main attention of the market was focused on the further actions of the Fed. Large-scale measures to stimulate the economy have significantly increased inflationary risks, due to which the profitability of long-term American treasuries has increased sharply. From January to March 2021, the yield on 10-year government bonds rose from 0.95 to 1.70%. Over the same period of time, the dollar index strengthened by about 4.5%. Gold has lost its investment attractiveness, as the strong dollar has made the precious metal more expensive and active against the background of the increased guaranteed yield of American debt securities.Read more: What is the US Dollar Index DXY and how to trade it?From April to May, the pressure on the precious metal eased somewhat. In just two months, gold quotes showed an impressive growth of more than 13.5%, but, as subsequent events showed, it was the death agony of the bulls, who obviously lost their strategic initiative.The market is growing expectations that the world's leading central banks, primarily the Federal Reserve, will begin to gradually curtail incentives, which will help strengthen the dollar and limit inflation risks. It is obvious that in these conditions, the potential for a recovery in the value of gold will be very limited.Of course, the continuing risks of the emergence of new COVID-19 strains and local pullbacks on stock markets can lead to a short-term increase in the value of gold. But a return to the highs of mid-2020 in the medium term is hardly worth counting on. Although the volatility of gold will remain very high and gold will still be the most popular instrument for trading.Despite the slower than previously expected pace of recovery of the labor market in the United States, representatives of the Fed are increasingly making statements about the need to curtail incentives. The latest comments from the Fed representatives suggest that the regulator may begin the process of reducing stimulus measures this year, which may support the US dollar. Gold, which has a close inverse correlation with the dollar, will obviously be under pressure.The hopes that the demand for precious metals will be supported by high inflation risks are not yet confirmed by the real situation on the market. Since the beginning of the year, inflation in the US, the EU and other regions has risen to multi-year highs, while the price of gold has declined since the beginning of the year. Therefore, the statement that when inflation increases, investors always buy gold is fundamentally wrong. Traders will be happy to buy stocks, bonds and other high-yield assets if they are sure that they will protect them from risk better than precious metals.Read more: Causes of inflation and scientific approaches to their studyWhat is the forecast given by the world banksSociete Generale experts note that locally the market remains bullish amid the weakening of the dollar, but in the future gold may come under pressure. According to the baseline scenario, the average price of gold in 2022 will be $1,750 per ounce. An increase in gold prices is possible only in the event of the beginning of another crisis in the world economy. In this case, the price of gold may rise to the level of $2,160. The third scenario assumes an acceleration of the global economic recovery, which may significantly weaken interest in gold and other protective assets. In this case, the price of gold may fall to the level of $1,600.Analysts also predict a decline in gold prices. They believe that the precious metal will remain under pressure in the coming months, as macroeconomic statistics from the United States will indicate a further economic recovery. The risks associated with the new COVID-19 "Delta" strain may deter the Federal Reserve from earlier curtailing incentives, but gold is unlikely to extract large dividends from this.Bank traders believe that the fair price range for gold is $1735-1845. Now the price is in the middle of this range and the further short-term vector of movement will depend, first of all, on the rhetoric of the Fed. Tougher statements may provoke a new wave of sales.Read more: The history of Federal Reserve (Fed) and its functionsWhat does technical analysis sayOn the weekly chart, we note a false breakdown of the previous historical maximum. The subsequent pullback of the price down indicates the formation of a strong reversal formation, within which we can see a price decline to the area of 1500.00. For this, the bears need to push through support at the level of 1690.00.Therefore, as long as the price remains below the 1900.00 mark, the prospects for a long-term movement of gold remain bearish.XAUUSD, 1WOn the daily chart, the picture for the bulls is also not comforting. The price is currently under a strong resistance level of 1835.00. The probability that the bulls will be able to break through this level from the first approach is very insignificant. But even if buyers are able to break through this mark in the future, the growth potential will be limited by the next strong resistance at 1900.00.Read more: What timeframe is it best to trade onThe base scenario assumes the development of a moderate downward movement in the direction of support at 1685.00. At the same time, in the range of 1685.00–1835.00, the price can be held for quite a long time.XAUUSD, DailyThe medium-term scenario of price movement also indicates the development of a downward movement. On H4, buyers are still unable to cope with the resistance even at the level of 1800.00. Therefore, while the price is kept below this mark, the bearish scenario of movement with a target of 1732.00 remains a priority.XAUUSD, 4HYou can count on the growth of quotations only after the price is fixed above 1800.00. In this case, the potential for the development of an ascending wave will be limited to the level of 1835.00Read more: How to trade on the Forex ...