The inversion of the U.S. Treasury yield curve is considered the most accurate sign that a recession is near. The norm is that yields on long-term bonds are higher than those on short-term bonds. When it is the other way around, that is the inversion. That is the case right now: the yield on two-year U.S. Treasuries is higher than the yield on ten-years.It looks ...
USDCAD signalsThe USDCAD forex pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. On it, you can see that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55, which corresponds to the level of 1.3497 and contributes to an increase in the price of the British pound in the short term. I recommend buying in this pair based on the ...
FOREX Fundamental analysis for EURUSD on December 7, 2022Investors' hope for easing of the Fed's monetary policy and reduction of risks for the U.S. economy recession cancelled the unconditional superiority of the US dollar. EURUSD has recovered 9.6% from its September lows, but remains 8% below its year-beginning level. Experts think that the single currency has ...
Forex Fundamental Analysis for EURUSD on December 6, 2022The Fed can meet the inflation target in two ways. The first is to quickly drive the interest rate above 5% and then begin easing financial conditions just as quickly, or the second is to conduct unhurried acts of monetary restriction, carefully analyzing the effect of the measures taken.Jerome Powell ...
"History repeats itself" is a well-known expression, which is based on the hypothesis that the development of society is a cycle of certain events and phenomena, and that history, like economics, is characterized by cyclicity. Considering that history does not only record the heyday of empires, and that the cycle of the economy always goes through crises, it becomes ...
OPEC+ is markedly reducing oil production - in fact, the exporting countries will pump about 1 million barrels less per day. We have written earlier on why this is so.As a result, supply at the market has become lower, so prices have gone up and are approaching $100 per barrel again.What will the U.S. do after the OPEC+ statement?The coming energy ...
Apple CEO Tim Cook said that the word "meta-universe" is still misunderstood by the vast majority of people in the world. That's why Apple is trying to avoid the term. The company has mentioned it once. But Meta (recognized as an extremist organization) has used the word "meta-universe" 36 times in its reports this year.And before, Apple was not afraid to set trends ...
Credit Suisse and Lehman Brothers: will the Swiss bank repeat the story of 2008?Swiss bank Credit Suisse is in trouble: its bonds have plummeted to a record low. In addition, the CDS value of these bonds has skyrocketed. This is a kind of "insurance" against default of the issuer, and the greater the market fears about such an outcome, the higher the value of ...
