Yesterday, the yields of ten-year US treasury securities showed high volatility, at the end of the day they fell by about 4.5 bps to 1.41% per annum. Today they are growing weakly and are about 1.42% per annum. US stock indexes returned to decline yesterday – at the end of the day, the S& P500 fell by 0.87%, the Dow Jones - by 0.08%, and the NASDAQ immediately lost 2.47%.
Yesterday, regulatory meetings continued in the world, the main one of which was the ECB meeting. However, it did not surprise investors much. It once again confirmed the intention to complete the emergency part of the asset purchase program in March 2022. At the same time, the pace of asset repurchase under the standard part of the program will be increased in the second quarter with the prospect of their further decline. Moreover, at a press conference, Christine Lagarde noted that a rate hike in 2022 is very unlikely. The continued promises of a soft monetary policy of the ECB supported the positive in the market, however, the Bank of England yesterday unpleasantly surprised investors. Earlier it was reported that the regulator may prefer to wait for the development of the epidemiological situation before raising the rate, but the Bank of England at yesterday's meeting still decided to raise the rate by 15 bps, as well as signal the prospects for further tightening of the PREP. The willingness of regulators to unexpectedly tough actions affected market sentiment yesterday, additional pressure was exerted by another negative news on a new strain.
On Thursday, a number of macro statistics were published in the EU and in the USA. Labor data will be important for the prospects of a rate hike in the US in the near future, and the market will pay special attention to operational statistics. Yesterday's data on the number of weekly applications for unemployment benefits showed an increase in the number of applicants by about 20 thousand to 206 thousand. Nevertheless, such statistics almost coincided with the consensus forecast, and the number of appeals continues to be below the levels before the outbreak of the pandemic. As a result, the growth of applications for unemployment benefits yesterday did not cause a significant reaction from investors. Yesterday, November data on industrial production were also published in the United States. The growth of the indicator slowed down to 0.5% mom, which, however, was close to the consensus forecast (+0.6% mom). The manufacturing index of business activity published later in December showed a further deterioration in production. So, in December, the index fell by 0.5 p. to 57.8 p. against the expected weak growth of the indicator. The index of business activity in the US services sector also declined, while its growth was expected. It is important to note that in December, the components that reflect the cost levels decreased significantly in the manufacturing sector, which may contribute to a slowdown in inflation in December. Nevertheless, in the service sector, costs have increased at a record pace, which does not yet allow us to talk about a significant slowdown in price growth in the United States. Yesterday, the December business activity indices were also published in the EU. The manufacturing index in Europe declined weaker than expected, however, the index for the services sector disappointed investors. Against the background of the deterioration of the epidemiological situation, the indicator fell by 2.6 p. to 53.3 p. against the expected decline to 54.3 p. The price components of the indices slowed down their growth, but still remain at elevated levels. Thus, price pressure in the EU remains, and December inflation data may again unpleasantly surprise investors.
Yesterday, Brent crude futures rose by 1.54% to $75.02/bbl. The growth of quotations was supported by the weakening of the dollar and rising prices for other energy resources. However, today Brent futures are down 0.70% and are trading around $74.50/bbl. The epidemiological background will continue to determine the dynamics of oil prices in the near future - while it remains rather negative, which does not allow quotes to gain a foothold at higher levels. Weekly data on the number of drilling rigs in the United States will be published tonight – the continued growth of the indicator will strengthen the negative in the oil market. Nevertheless, Brent futures are unlikely to show a significant change today, continuing to be near the $75/bbl mark.
Express forex forecast for the GBP/USD pairBased on technical modeling for the pound/dollar pair, a forecast of further movement has been formed and the average price is predisposed to decline.In this technical situation, the pound can be sold from the level of 1.2614, you can also place a pending sell order at the level of 1.2679 in order to decrease to the area of 1.2525-1.2445, the stop with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2725.If we receive a profit of 30 points or more, we fix 50% of the position, and put the rest at breakeven. If this forecast for the GBP/USD pair coincides with your opinion, then you can safely use this strategy.Forex strategy for the USD/CAD pairThe USD/CAD pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (level 1.3549), which generally contributes to the price increase in the short term. I recommend working on this pair from sales based on the established wave model.The signal to open a long position will be a breakdown at the end of the resistance hour at the level of 1.3629 in order to increase to the resistance at the level of 1.3678 and in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour to 1.3736. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3540.The signal to open a short position will be a breakdown at the end of the support hour at 1.3549 with the aim of reducing to support at 1.3488 in case of its breakdown at the end of the 1.3429 hour. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3653.Given that the moving average and the location of the boundaries of technical figures are moving over time, it is necessary to adjust their position on the hourly chart. I also recommend opening positions at the end of the hour to avoid false breakouts. 
Express forex forecast for the GBP/USD pairBased on technical modeling for the pound/dollar pair, a forecast of further movement has been formed and the average is urgently predisposed to an increase.In this technical situation, the pound can be bought from the level of 1.2591, you can also place a pending purchase order at the level of 1.2551 in order to increase to the area of 1.2733-1.2984, the stop with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2530.If we receive a profit of 30 points or more, we fix 50% of the position, and put the rest at breakeven. If this forecast for the GBP/USD pair coincides with your opinion, then you can safely use this strategy.Forex strategy for the USD/CAD pairThe USD/CAD pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (level 1.3547), which generally contributes to the price increase in the short term. I recommend working on this pair from sales based on the established wave model.The signal to open a long position will be a breakdown at the end of the resistance hour at 1.3627 in order to increase to the resistance at 1.3678 and in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour to 1.3719. Stop loss with this strategy can be placed at 1.3560.The signal to open a short position will be a breakdown at the end of the support hour at the level of 1.3488 with the aim of reducing to support at the level of 1.3429 in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour 1.3381. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3615.Given that the moving average and the location of the boundaries of technical figures are moving over time, it is necessary to adjust their position on the hourly chart. I also recommend opening positions at the end of the hour to avoid false breakouts. 
Forex forecast for USD/CADThe USD/CAD pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (level 1.3509), which generally contributes to the price increase in the short term. I recommend working on this pair from sales based on the established wave model.The signal to open a long position will be a breakdown at the end of the resistance hour at 1.3575 in order to increase to the resistance at 1.3627 and in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour to 1.3678. Stop loss with this strategy can be placed at 1.3480.The signal to open a short position will be a breakdown at the end of the support hour at 1.3488 with the aim of reducing to support at 1.3429 in case of its breakdown at the end of the 1.3381 hour. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3615.Given that the moving average and the location of the boundaries of technical figures are moving over time, it is necessary to adjust their position on the hourly chart. I also recommend opening positions at the end of the hour to avoid false breakouts.Forex forecast for GBP/USDBased on technical modeling for the pound/dollar pair, a forecast of further movement has been formed and the average price is predisposed to decline.In this technical situation, the pound can be sold from the level of 1.2725, you can also place a pending sell order at the level of 1.2767 in order to decrease to the area of 1.2609-1.2508, the stop with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2830.If we receive a profit of 30 points or more, we fix 50% of the position, and put the rest at breakeven. If this forecast for the GBP/USD pair coincides with your opinion, then you can safely use this strategy. 
Forex forecast for USD/CADThe USD/CAD pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (level 1.3509), which generally contributes to the price increase in the short term. I recommend working on this pair from sales based on the established wave model.The signal to open a long position will be a breakdown at the end of the resistance hour at 1.3568 in order to increase to the resistance at 1.3618 and in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour to 1.3678. Stop loss with this strategy can be placed at 1.3480.The signal to open a short position will be a breakdown at the end of the support hour at 1.3488 with the aim of reducing to support at 1.3429 in case of its breakdown at the end of the 1.3381 hour. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3595.Given that the moving average and the location of the boundaries of technical figures are moving over time, it is necessary to adjust their position on the hourly chart. I also recommend opening positions at the end of the hour to avoid false breakouts.Forex forecast for GBP/USDBased on technical modeling for the pound/dollar pair, a forecast of further movement has been formed and the average price is predisposed to decline.In this technical situation, the pound can be sold from the level of 1.2742, you can also place a pending sell order at the level of 1.2767 in order to decrease to the area of 1.2609-1.2508, the stop with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2830.In the case of a profit of 30 points or more, we fix 50% of the position, and put the rest at no loss. If this forecast for the GBP/USD pair coincides with your opinion, then you can safely use this strategy. 
Forex forecast for USD/CADThe USD/CAD pair is trading within an uptrend on a 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD exchange rate is trading above the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (level 1.3501), which generally contributes to the price increase in the short term. I recommend working on this pair from sales based on the established wave model.The signal to open a long position will be a breakdown at the end of the resistance hour at 1.3568 in order to increase to the resistance at 1.3618 and in case of its breakdown at the end of the hour to 1.3678. Stop loss with this strategy can be placed at 1.3480.The signal to open a short position will be a breakdown at the end of the support hour at 1.3488 with the aim of reducing to support at 1.3429 in case of its breakdown at the end of the 1.3381 hour. The stop loss with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3595.Given that the moving average and the location of the boundaries of technical figures are moving over time, it is necessary to adjust their position on the hourly chart. I also recommend opening positions at the end of the hour to avoid false breakouts.Forex forecast for British pound/US dollarBased on technical modeling for the pound/dollar pair, a forecast of further movement has been formed and the average is urgently predisposed to an increase.In this technical situation, the pound can be bought from the level of 1.2765, you can also place a pending purchase order at the level of 1.2730 in order to increase to the area of 1.2878-1.2987, the stop with this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2650.In the case of a profit of 30 points or more, we fix 50% of the position, and put the rest at no loss. If this forecast for the GBP/USD pair coincides with your opinion, then you can safely use this strategy. 
USDCAD signalsUSDCAD is trading in a downtrend on the 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD rate is trading below the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (the level of 1.3462), which generally contributes to the decline in the price in the short term. I recommend to sell on this pair on the basis of the existing wave pattern.The signal for long position opening will be a break-down and fixing above the resistance at 1.3500 with the aim to go up to the resistance level of 1.3552 and in case of its break-down at the end of the hour to 1.3606. Stop loss in this strategy may be placed at the level of 1.3440.The signal for the opening of a short position is a break-down and fixation at the level of 1.3349 with the aim of going down to the support at 1.3295, in case of its breakdown an hour later, to 1.3243. Stop-loss in this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.3475.EURUSD signalsEURUSD is trading within the ascending price channel on the hourly chart. I recommend opening long positions in case the pair breaks through and rises above the resistance at 1.0810, aiming to the resistance at 1.0837-1.0869. Stop loss below 1.0760.I recommend to open short positions after breakdown and fixation below the support at the level of 1.0764 with the aim to go down to the support at the level of 1.0737-1.0710. Stop-loss is above 1.0820.GBPUSD signalsOn the basis of technical modeling on pair pound/dollar the forecast of the further movement was formed and the average urgency is predisposed to rise.In the given technical situation pound can be bought from the level of 1.2243 and also it is possible to expose the pending buy order at the level of 1.2170 with the purpose of increase in the area of resistance at the level of 1.2353-1.2446, the stop at this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2070. 
USDCAD signalsUSDCAD is trading in a downtrend on the 4-hour chart. It shows that the USD/CAD rate is trading below the moving average with a period of 55 on the hourly chart (the level of 1.3479), which generally contributes to the decline in the price in the short term. I recommend to sell on this pair on the basis of the existing wave pattern.The signal for long position opening will be a breakdown and fixation at the level of 1.3500 with the aim to go up to the resistance at 1.3552 and in case of its breakdown and fixation at the level of 1.3606. Stop loss in this strategy may be placed at the level of 1.3440.The signal for the opening of a short position will be a breakdown and fixation at the level of 1.3349 with the aim of reducing to the support at the level of 1.3295 in case of its breakdown and fixation at 1.3243. Stop-loss may be set at the level of 1.3475.EURUSD signalsThe EURUSD pair is trading within the ascending price channel on the hourly chart. I recommend opening long positions in case of breakdown of the resistance at 1.0870 with the aim of going up to the resistance at 1.0900-1.0931. Stop-loss below 1.0800.I recommend to open short positions after breakdown of support at 1.0807 with the aim to go down to support at 1.0781-1.0751. Stop loss is above 1.0885.GBPUSD signalsOn the basis of technical modeling on pair pound/dollar the forecast of the further movement was formed and the average urgent predisposition to increase.In the given technical situation pound can be bought from the level of 1.2226 and also it is possible to expose the pending buy order at the level of 1.2122 with the purpose of increase in the area of resistance at the level of 1.2374-1.2494, the stop at this strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2070. 
USDCAD SignalsUSDCAD is trading in a downtrend on the 4-hour chart. It can be seen that the rate USD/CAD trades below the moving average with a period of 55 on the hour chart (level 1.3540), which generally contributes to the decline in the price in the short term. I recommend to sell on this pair on the basis of the existing wave pattern.The signal for long position opening will be a breakdown by the results of the hour and fixing above the resistance at 1.3446 with the aim to go up to the resistance level of 1.3500 and in case of its breakdown and fixing by the results of the hour - further to 1.3552. Stop-loss may be placed at the level of 1.3350.The signal for the opening of a short position is a breakdown and fixation below the support at 1.3362 with the aim of reducing to the support at 1.3317, in case of its breakdown and fixation at 1.3259. Stop loss can be set at 1.3455.EURUSD SignalsThe EURUSD pair is trading within the ascending price channel on the hourly chart. I recommend opening long positions in case of breakdown and fixation at the level of 1.0759 with the aim of going up to the resistance at 1.0785-1.0809. Stop loss below 1.0710.I recommend opening short positions after breakdown of support at 1.0720 with the aim to go down to support at 1.0696-1.0667. Stop-loss is above 1.0770.GBPUSD SignalsOn the basis of technical modeling on pair pound/dollar the forecast of the further movement was formed and the average urgent predisposition to increase.In the given technical situation pound can be bought from the level of 1.2147 and also it is possible to expose the pending buy order at the level of 1.2060 with the purpose of increase in the area of resistance at the level of 1.2344-1.2446, the stop at the given strategy can be placed at the level of 1.2040.