USD/CAD: the price is aimed at continuing the trend towards 1.3830
In the previous week, the USD/CAD rate declined to 1.3650, but today the currency pair is showing growth, reaching the level of 1.3720 and aiming to test the bar at 1.3830.
The depreciation was provoked by the results of the last meeting of the US Federal Reserve System on monetary policy: the key rate set at 5.25 to 5.50 percent remained unchanged, which was an expected decision against the background of a stable economic situation, a strong labor market and high inflation rates. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell stressed that the current dynamics of income on government bonds and mortgage rates may have an independent impact on the economy, which may free the regulator from the need to continue the "hawkish" policy. Therefore, analyzing the data of the FedWatch tool from the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), it is predicted that with a probability of 90.0% the interest rate will remain unchanged in December of this year.
- Resistance levels: 1.3830, 1.3960.
- Support levels: 1.3650, 1.3510, 1.3385.
NZD/USD: The New Zealand currency shows corrective changes in the exchange rate
The NZD/USD currency pair is showing an accelerated decline, following a downward trend against a microscopic perspective, while reflecting the recovery that was recorded at the end of the previous week. At the moment, the pair is testing the 0.5930 level for a breakthrough in the opposite direction, reacting to the latest statistics from China and the results of the recent meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia, which, as a result, decided to raise the interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.35%. This change in rates may serve as an indicator for similar actions by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand at their meeting scheduled for November 29.
The report on the Chinese economy showed a drop in export operations by 6.4% in October compared with -6.2% in the previous month, which significantly exceeded the forecasts of analysts who expected a decline of -3.1%. At the same time, imports unexpectedly increased by 3.0% after a drop of -6.2% recorded in September, contrary to forecasts that suggested a decrease of -5.4%. China's trade balance fell from $77.71 billion to $56.53 billion, although experts expected it to rise to $81.95 billion.
- Resistance levels: 0.5950, 0.5976, 0.6000, 0.6030.
- Support levels: 0.5920, 0.5900, 0.5879, 0.5858.
Gold price analysis
The value of the precious metal is experiencing an upward correction, holding steady at the level of 1970.0. This is a consequence of the fact that investors prefer investments in safe assets against the background of geopolitical risks in the Middle East region.
Not only private investors, but also national regulators have intensified their interest in acquiring gold as a reliable resource. The report of the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that in the period from July to September of this year, central banks increased their reserves by 337.0 tons, which is one of the most significant quantitative indicators of purchases in recent years. From the beginning of the year to the end of September, the total volume of gold purchased reached 800.0 tons, which is 14.0% more than in the same period of the previous year. Among the major buyers, the People's Bank of China stands out, having increased its reserves by 78.0 tons in the third quarter and by 181.0 tons since the beginning of the year. It is also worth noting the actions of the Central Bank of Turkey, which, despite the sale of 160.0 tons in the spring, acquired 39.0 tons of gold in the last quarter.
- Resistance levels: 1985.0, 2010.0.
- Support levels: 1960.0, 1933.0.
Crude Oil Market Analysis
Prices for the Brent brand are experiencing an adjustment, fluctuating around the figure of $ 85 per barrel.
The latest news indicates that the largest oil producers have decided to continue the pact on reducing oil production until the end of this year. Saudi Arabia will cut its production by 1 million barrels per day, while Russia will reduce production by 500 thousand barrels per day, with an additional export restriction of 300 thousand barrels. These steps taken by OPEC+ countries are aimed at stabilizing prices at the level of current indicators. In the third quarter, Saudi Arabia's economy showed a slowdown caused by hydrocarbon prices that did not meet expectations. In this regard, Riyadh plans to take measures to adjust its economic policy in the future.
- Resistance levels: 86.00, 89.30.
- Support levels: 83.70, 79.60.