Platinum Trading forecasts and signals

EUR/GBP: the pair is retreating from the local peaks recorded the day beforeThe EUR/GBP pair is showing a downward movement, retreating from the highs of December 16, updated in the previous session: Quotes are testing the 0.8310 level, while market activity remains low due to the holiday period.Investors are focused on forecasts for interest rate cuts by leading central banks in 2025. In December, the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and announced plans for two similar cuts from the middle of next year. According to analysts, the European Central Bank may cut rates faster than the US regulator, given the weak economic growth in the eurozone with low inflation risks. Nevertheless, the election of Donald Trump as US president adds to the uncertainty, especially in light of the possible aggravation of trade relations with the EU due to new duties. According to forecasts, the ECB may adjust rates at each meeting until the spring of 2025, and then twice more — in the summer and at the end of the year.The British market is carefully analyzing the GDP data for the third quarter: the final figures turned out to be worse than the preliminary ones, which increases the likelihood of continued soft monetary policy by the Bank of England. In annual terms, economic growth slowed to 0.9% from 1.0%, while quarterly GDP remained unchanged. In December, the regulator left the rate unchanged, awaiting additional data. In 2025, the Bank of England may cut the rate four times if inflation remains low. The slowdown to 2.3% in October 2024 after a peak of 11.0% at the end of 2022 is due to lower prices for food, energy and goods. Chief Economist Hugh Pill stressed that the weakness of the global economy makes the UK particularly vulnerable to price shocks.Resistance levels: 0.8326, 0.8340, 0.8350, 0.8359.Support levels: 0.8310, 0.8294, 0.8280, 0.8259.USD/CHF: dollar growth may strengthen against the background of a stable francThe USD/CHF pair remains in a corrective movement, holding at 0.8993. Despite the steady growth of the US currency, the instrument failed to update its annual highs.The Swiss franc is supported by internal monetary factors. At the last meeting, the Swiss National Bank announced an interest rate cut of 0.50%, which was the most significant step towards easing in the last decade. This decision was prompted by more moderate than expected inflation figures. At the same time, the head of the regulator, Martin Schlegel, stressed that in 2025 the rate could reach 0.25%, but the transition to zero is not yet being considered. The official noted that the current dynamics of consumer prices makes it possible to maintain a cautious approach, but in the event of an acceleration of inflation next year, the Central Bank will take appropriate measures based on the economic situation.Resistance levels: 0.9020, 0.9150.Support levels: 0.8940, 0.8810.AUD/USD: decline persists at the close of the weekThe AUD/USD pair is falling to the local lows of December 19, testing the 0.6210 level again for a possible downward breakout. Trading activity remains subdued during the Christmas holidays, while market participants continue to analyze the prospects for the monetary policy of the US Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).In December, the US Federal Reserve decided to reduce the interest rate by 25 basis points, bringing it to 4.50%. According to the updated forecasts, only two such declines are expected next year. At the same time, the probability of a change in monetary policy in the first half of 2025 remains low, due to the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. The first steps to change the rate are likely to be taken only by the middle of the year, unless new macroeconomic factors arise.The Reserve Bank of Australia is also maintaining a cautious approach, with a high probability of a 25 basis point rate adjustment in February. Currently, the probability of this event is estimated at 70%, and another change may follow in July. Optimistic data on the Australian economy confirms the stability of the labor market: in 2024, the number of jobs increased by more than 330,000, while the part-time employment rate remains at 6.1%, and total unemployment is 3.9%.Resistance levels: 0.6250, 0.6274, 0.6300, 0.6336.Support levels: 0.6200, 0.6140, 0.6100, 0.6050.Platinum market analysisThis week, Platinum (XPT/USD) is showing attempts to strengthen, despite the low activity of market participants associated with the Christmas holidays. At the moment, the quotes have stabilized around the 943.40 level, corresponding to a 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.The growing interest in precious metals is supported by the ongoing geopolitical instability in the Middle East and political crises in leading European countries. The overthrow of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria has increased the influence of extremist groups, which have gained access to significant stocks of weapons. This could provoke an escalation of the conflict in the region, which could lead to disruptions in energy supplies and a negative impact on the global economy. At the same time, political instability persists in Germany, where parliamentary elections are approaching, and in France, where the prime minister has once again been replaced. These factors force investors to prefer safe haven assets, including platinum and other precious metals.Resistance levels: 954.00, 1000.00, 1031.25.Support levels: 918.00, 875.00, ...

EUR/GBP: ECB ended the year by lowering all three key ratesThe EUR/GBP pair is showing smooth growth, continuing to strengthen after the bullish momentum recorded the day before. The quotes have retreated from the minimum values of March 2022 and are trying to break through the 0.8260 mark, showing stable upward dynamics.The British economy did not meet analysts' expectations for gross domestic product (GDP) for October. Instead of the expected growth of 0.1%, the indicator remained at -0.1%. Industrial production volumes also disappointed: in annual terms, the decrease was 0.7%, although growth of 0.2% was predicted, and on a monthly basis, the indicator fell by 0.6% instead of the expected 0.3%. This weak statistic increases the uncertainty surrounding the decisions of the Bank of England, whose next meeting is scheduled for December 19.Investors are analyzing the results of the meeting of the European Central Bank (ECB) held the day before, where rates were reduced by 25 basis points. The key rate is now 3.15%, the margin rate is 3.40%, and the deposit rate is 3.00%. ECB President Christine Lagarde noted that domestic inflation is declining, but remains high, as the adaptation of wages and prices has not yet been completed. Forecasts for economic growth in the region have been revised downward: for 2024, the forecast is 0.7% instead of 0.8%, for 2025 — 1.1% instead of 1.3%, and for 2026 — 1.4% instead of 1.5%. Market participants' expectations are inclined to a more active reduction in ECB rates compared to the US Federal Reserve next year.Resistance levels: 0.8280, 0.8294, 0.8310, 0.8326.Support levels: 0.8259, 0.8238, 0.8223, 0.8200.USD/CHF: restoring the dominance of the American currencyThe USD/CHF pair is consolidating at 0.8927, demonstrating a corrective trend and willingness to continue moving up due to the strengthening of the US dollar.The Swiss National Bank maintains the stability of the franc through a dovish policy. The regulator lowered the interest rate to 0.50%, deviating from forecasts suggesting a decrease to 0.75% by 25 basis points. The regulator's statement emphasizes that the decrease in inflation in November turned out to be better than expected, which accelerates the achievement of monetary policy goals. In addition, the decision is due to low business activity, requiring affordable loans for recovery. Switzerland's economic prospects remain subdued, but analysts predict that GDP growth could reach 1.0–1.5% in 2025. This level will help to stabilize key economic processes and accelerate market recovery.Resistance levels: 0.8960, 0.9100.Support levels: 0.8890, 0.8780.NZD/USD: household spending in New Zealand remains under pressureThe NZD/USD pair is showing growth, reaching the level of 0.5765, despite the continued strengthening of the US currency.The New Zealand dollar continues to move within the downward trend due to signs of slowing economic activity. According to the National Statistical Service of New Zealand (Stats.nz ), the volume of sales of electronic cards, reflecting the level of consumer spending, did not change in monthly terms in November, and the annual indicator deteriorated from -1.1% to -2.3%, remaining in negative territory for nine consecutive months. Among the key categories, spending growth was observed in the hospitality sector (+1.4%) and fuel purchases (+1.3%). At the same time, the largest decrease was recorded in spending on vehicle maintenance (-0.3%), the purchase of clothing and shoes (-1.0%), as well as durable goods (-0.2%).Resistance levels: 0.5800, 0.5920.Support levels: 0.5740, 0.5630.Platinum market analysisThis week, the XPT/USD pair showed diverse dynamics: starting with an increase in the area of 956.55, the quotes could not hold their positions and rolled back to 931.00, remaining under the influence of uncertainty about the upcoming actions of the US Federal Reserve System.The market expects that at the final meeting of the year, the regulator will reduce the interest rate by 25 basis points to 4.50%. However, the further trajectory of monetary policy raises questions. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in November, but inflation figures continue to rise. Thus, the consumer price index increased to 2.7%, and the producer price index recorded a third month of growth, reaching 3.0%, which exceeds the target values. Against this background, it is possible to suspend the easing cycle or significantly reduce its pace, which may limit the rate correction to one or two times a year. If, after the US Federal Reserve meeting, signals are heard about the suspension of the "dovish" exchange rate, this will put pressure on safe haven assets, including platinum. On the contrary, statements of readiness to continue lowering rates may help strengthen the position of metals against the dollar.Resistance levels: 968.75, 1000.00, 1031.25.Support levels: 926.70, 906.25, ...

EUR/TRY: CPI data supports the euroDuring the morning trading on November 21, the EUR/TRY pair shows an upward trend, trading around 37.50, which is 0.3% higher than the level of the previous session.The economic situation in the eurozone remains stable. According to Eurostat, in October, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.2% month-on-month and by 2.1% year-on-year, which is in line with analysts' forecasts. The business activity index (PMI) in the manufacturing sector for November amounted to 51.5 points, which is higher than the previous value of 50.8, indicating a moderate increase in activity. At the last meeting, the European Central Bank (ECB) left the key interest rate at 4.0%, emphasizing the need for further monitoring of inflation risks. Retail sales data in the eurozone will be published today at 12:00 (GMT+2); analysts expect an increase of 0.3% month-on-month and 1.2% year-on-year, which may support the euro's position.There is a slowdown in economic growth in Turkey. According to the Turkish Statistical Institute, GDP grew by 2.5% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2024, which is lower than the previous figure of 5.3% and indicates a decrease in economic activity. Inflation remains high: in October, the consumer price index increased by 1.8% month-on-month and by 43% year-on-year. The Central Bank of Turkey continues to adhere to a tight monetary policy, keeping the key rate at 50% in order to curb inflation. Today at 10:00 (GMT+2), data on the unemployment rate is expected to be published; the indicator is projected to rise from 10.2% to 10.5%, which may put pressure on the Turkish lira.Resistance levels: 38.00, 38.50.Support levels: 37.00, 36.50.USD/CHF: dollar weakness strengthens franc's positionDuring the Asian session on November 21, the USD/CHF pair shows a downward trend, trading around 0.8870, which is 0.3% lower than the level of the previous session.The US dollar is weakening amid the publication of strong economic data that may affect the decisions of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) regarding interest rates. According to the US Department of Commerce, retail sales in October increased by 0.8% compared to the previous month, exceeding analysts' expectations of 0.5% growth. In addition, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month and 3.2% year-on-year in October, which corresponds to the Fed's inflation target. The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, John Williams, noted that inflation is gradually decreasing, and further interest rate cuts are expected in the future. Today at 15:30 (GMT+2), data on applications for unemployment benefits will be published: analysts expect a decrease from 220 thousand to 215 thousand, which may support the dollar's position.The Swiss franc is strengthening against the background of weak economic indicators in the country. According to Swissmem, sales of Swiss industrial products decreased by 4.2% in the first nine months of 2024, while exports decreased by 3.6% due to lower demand in Europe and the strengthening of the franc. In addition, the Swissmechanic survey showed that the business climate index for small manufacturing companies reached its lowest level since January 2021, with almost 75% of companies assessing the current business environment negatively. Today at 10:00 (GMT+2), data on the unemployment rate in Switzerland will be published: it is expected that the indicator will remain at 2.3%, which may support the franc.Resistance levels: 0.8900, 0.8950.Support levels: 0.8850, 0.8800.NZD/USD: inflation met market expectationsDuring the Asian session on November 21, the NZD/USD pair shows a downward trend, trading around 0.5940, which is 0.5% lower than the level of the previous session.The economic situation in New Zealand is showing stability with some signs of slowing growth. According to Statistics New Zealand, the consumer price index (CPI) increased by 1.2% quarter-on-quarter and 3.5% year-on-year in the third quarter. These figures completely coincided with forecasts, which indicates stability in the inflationary dynamics. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.0%, which is in line with market expectations. However, a decrease in the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) to 49.5 points indicates a slight decrease in activity in the sector.Additionally, retail sales data for the third quarter showed an increase of 0.8% compared to the previous period, which is slightly higher than the projected level. At the moment, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has kept its key interest rate at 5.5%, saying that monetary policy is in line with inflation and employment targets. However, given the possible slowdown in the industrial sector, experts suggest that RBNZ may reconsider its position early next year. October retail sales data is expected to be published today at 15:00 (GMT+2). Analysts predict growth of 0.3% on a monthly basis, which may affect the strengthening of the New Zealand currency in the short term.Resistance levels: 0.6000, 0.6050.Support levels: 0.5900, 0.5850.Platinum market analysisDuring the trading session on November 21, platinum quotes show a downward trend, holding around $960 per troy ounce, which is 1.5% less than in the previous session.According to the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC), global platinum demand is expected to decline by 6% to 7.66 million troy ounces in 2024, after rising by 26% in 2023 to 8.15 million ounces. This is due to a decrease in metal consumption by automakers and other industrial enterprises. At the same time, platinum production in 2024 is projected at 5.55 million ounces, which is 1% more than the previous year. Thus, the shortage of platinum on the market in 2024 may amount to 353 thousand ounces, which is three times less than in 2023.Platinum prices are also influenced by the strengthening of the US dollar, which makes the metal less attractive to investors. In addition, the growth of risk appetite in financial markets and possible trade tariffs from the United States create additional pressure on the value of platinum.Resistance levels: $980, $1000.Support levels: $950, ...

NZD/USD: rising inflation in New Zealand pushes the pair downDuring the Asian session on November 13, the NZD/USD pair shows a downward trend, trading around 0.5970, which is 0.85% lower than the level of the previous session.The economic situation in New Zealand remains tense. As of September 2024, the unemployment rate rose to 4.8% from the previous 4.6%, indicating a slowdown in economic activity. The business confidence index stood at 65.7 points in October, up from 60.9 points in September, but remains below the long-term average. The index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (PMI) in September fell to 46.9 points from 45.8 points in August, remaining below the threshold level of 50, indicating a reduction in manufacturing activity. Retail sales in the second quarter of 2024 decreased by 1.2% compared to the previous quarter, reflecting a decrease in consumer spending. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the interest rate from 5.25% to 4.75% in October in an attempt to stimulate the economy. Inflation data for October will be published today at 15:30 (GMT+2); analysts expect the consumer price index (CPI) to increase by 0.6% on a monthly basis and by 2.2% on an annual basis, which may affect further decisions of the regulator.In the United States, economic indicators show mixed results. GDP in the second quarter of 2024 decreased by 0.2% compared to the previous quarter, indicating a slowdown in economic growth. The unemployment rate in September was 4.8%, up from 4.6% in August, which may indicate a weakening of the labor market. The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6% month-on-month and 2.2% year-on-year in September, in line with analysts' expectations. The Federal Reserve System (FRS) left the interest rate unchanged at 5.25% in October, but in its statements indicated a possible tightening of monetary policy in the event of further inflation. Retail sales data for October will be published today at 15:30 (GMT+2); analysts predict an increase of 0.4% month-on-month and 1.3% year-on-year, which may support the position of the US dollar.Resistance levels: 0.6000, 0.6050.Support levels: 0.5950, 0.5900.USD/CHF: the growth of industrial production in Switzerland strengthens the francDuring the Asian session on November 13, the USD/CHF pair shows an upward trend, trading around 0.8753, which is 0.32% higher than the level of the previous session.In Switzerland, economic indicators show moderate growth. GDP in the second quarter of 2024 increased by 0.7% compared to the previous quarter, indicating stable economic growth. The unemployment rate in September was 2.3%, which corresponds to the previous month and indicates stability in the labor market. The consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.2% month-on-month and 1.5% year-on-year in October, which is below the target level of the Swiss National Bank (SNB). In October, the SNB left the interest rate unchanged at 1.5%, noting in its statement that the current monetary policy is in line with the economic situation. Industrial production data for September will be published today at 10:00 (GMT+2); analysts expect an increase of 0.5% month-on-month and 2.0% year-on-year, which may affect the position of the Swiss franc.Resistance levels: 0.8780, 0.8800.Support levels: 0.8730, 0.8700.Platinum market analysisDuring the Asian session on November 13, platinum quotes show a downward trend, holding around $990.55 per troy ounce, which is 1.60% lower than the level of the previous session.The economic situation in South Africa, one of the largest platinum producers, remains unstable. According to the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC), production is expected to decrease by 2% in 2024 due to restructuring and staff reductions at enterprises in the region after the fall in prices for palladium and rhodium. This could lead to a 12% reduction in global platinum reserves in 2024. In addition, stocks have already declined by 17% in 2023, reaching a four-year low of 3.62 million ounces. This situation creates prerequisites for a shortage of metal in the market, which can support prices in the medium term.China, the largest consumer of platinum, is experiencing a slowdown in economic growth. According to the National Bureau of Statistics of China, GDP grew by 4.5% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2024, which is lower than analysts' expectations. The business activity index (PMI) in the manufacturing sector fell to 49.8 points in October, indicating a decrease in manufacturing activity. Reduced demand from the automotive industry, where platinum is used in catalysts, may put pressure on metal prices. Chinese industrial production data for October will be published today at 10:00 (GMT+2); analysts expect an increase of 3.9% year-on-year, which may affect the dynamics of platinum prices.Resistance levels: 1,008.50, 1,020.00.Support levels: 972.15, 960.00.Oil Market analysisDuring the Asian session on November 13, Brent crude oil quotes showed a slight increase, trading around $72.06 per barrel, which is 0.24% higher than the level of the previous session.Price dynamics are influenced by the recent revision by OPEC of the forecast of global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025. The organization lowered its estimate of demand growth by 107 thousand barrels per day, expecting an increase of 1.8 million barrels per day in 2024. This is due to the slowdown in economic growth in China and other developing countries. Additional pressure on prices is exerted by the strengthening of the US dollar, which makes oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.On the other hand, the market is supported by concerns about possible supply disruptions due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, especially in light of recent events related to Iran. In addition, it is expected that the US Federal Reserve may revise its monetary policy towards easing, which could potentially stimulate economic activity and, consequently, energy demand.Resistance levels: $73.50, $74.80.Support levels: $71.00, ...

EUR/USD: weak German PMI slow down euro growthOn August 27, 2024, the EUR/USD currency pair is trading around 1.1040, which is 0.4% higher compared to the previous trading session. The pair is showing an upward trend against the background of a weakening US dollar and expectations for a reduction in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve.The economic situation in the eurozone remains ambiguous. In Germany, the region's largest economy, the manufacturing sector continues to slow down. The business activity index (PMI) in the German manufacturing sector fell to 42.1 points, which is the lowest in the last five months. This indicates a further deepening of the recession in the industry. However, despite these negative data, the services sector in the eurozone showed more positive results: the business activity index (PMI) in the services sector rose to 53.3 points, exceeding analysts' forecasts. Meanwhile, producer price growth in the eurozone has also accelerated, raising concerns from the European Central Bank (ECB) and may prompt it to take more decisive action in the future.On the other hand, the US economy is also showing signs of slowing down. The minutes of the Fed's last meeting point to a possible interest rate cut in September, especially if employment data, which will be published on September 6, continues to show a weakening labor market. Given the continued slowdown in inflation, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell noted that a rate cut is likely if current trends continue. These expectations contribute to the weakening of the dollar and the growth of EUR/USD.Resistance levels: 1.1060, 1.1120.Support levels: 1.0980, 1.0930.GBP/TRY: pound strengthens, lira falls amid economic problemsAs of August 27, 2024, the GBP/TRY currency pair is trading at 40.93, which is 0.33% higher compared to the previous trading session. The pair is showing strength against the background of expectations for a reduction in interest rates by the Bank of England and continuing economic difficulties in Turkey.The economic situation in the UK remains unstable. At the last meeting, held on July 31, the Bank of England decided to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to 5%. This decision was made against the background of weakening inflation, which fell to 6.8% in June 2024. Despite this, the growth rate of the economy remains weak, which raises concerns about a further slowdown. The Bank of England also signaled possible further rate cuts depending on economic data, which puts pressure on the pound.Turkey continues to face serious economic problems, including high inflation and the devaluation of the lira. The latest data showed that inflation reached 47.8% in July 2024, which continues to weaken confidence in the national currency. The Central Bank of Turkey, despite efforts to stabilize the situation, continues to experience difficulties in containing inflation expectations. This leads to a further weakening of the lira, supporting the growth of GBP/TRY.Resistance levels: 41.00, 41.50.Support levels: 40.50, 40.00.Platinum market analysisAs of August 27, 2024, the price of platinum is hovering around $980 per ounce, which is 0.67% lower compared to the previous trading session. The decrease in value is due to general concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth, which puts pressure on demand for platinum, especially in the manufacturing sector.The economic situation on a global scale has a significant impact on the platinum market. Demand for platinum in the automotive industry remains high, reaching a seven-year high in the first quarter of 2024, which supports prices. However, the growth of the commercial transport sector is slowing down, which is causing concern among investors. Platinum shipments are expected to reach near record lows in 2024, which could support prices amid declining demand.At the same time, the overall shortage of platinum in the market continues to increase. According to the World Platinum Investment Council, the forecast for 2024 assumes a deficit of 476 thousand ounces, reflecting significant supply constraints. Investment demand has also remained positive for the second year in a row, especially in China, where demand for bullion and coins continues to grow. Nevertheless, economic concerns and a possible decrease in demand in production may negatively affect platinum prices in the coming months.Resistance levels: $1000, $1020.Support levels: $950, $930.Cocoa market analysisAs of August 27, 2024, the price of cocoa is trading at about $7,811 per ton, which is 0.56% lower compared to the previous trading session. This decrease is due to a weakening demand for chocolate, which puts pressure on prices, especially against the background of a report on a decrease in quarterly sales from the large chocolate manufacturer Hershey. However, despite weak demand, the market is showing signs of recovery, supported by increased demand for ground cocoa and a 2.2% increase in processing volumes in North America in the second quarter of 2024.The economic and political environment in West Africa, a key cocoa producing region, continues to have a significant impact on the market. In Côte d'Ivoire and Ghana, crop difficulties are observed due to the spread of diseases such as black rot (Black Pod) and adverse weather conditions. These problems have led to a reduction in supplies, which supports high cocoa prices on the world market. At the same time, in Latin America, especially Brazil and Ecuador, cocoa production remains stable due to improved agricultural practices and favorable government policies.Despite short-term fluctuations, forecasts for 2024 remain favorable for cocoa price growth due to continued supply shortages and sustained demand, especially in the context of high demand for premium and organic products in Europe and North America.Resistance levels: $8,100, $8,300.Support levels: $7,600, ...

GBP/JPY: the yen weakened due to the soft policy of the Bank of JapanAs of August 13, 2024, the GBP/JPY currency pair is showing steady growth, trading near the level of 189.27, which is 0.80% higher compared to the previous day. This movement is driven by several key factors, including economic and political developments in the UK and Japan.The economic and political situation in the UK continues to have a significant impact on the pound sterling (GBP). Yesterday's comments from representatives of the Bank of England (BoE) indicate continuing concerns about inflation, which supports expectations of further interest rate hikes. Additionally, the latest data on the UK economy, including a slowdown in GDP growth, are worrying against the background of a possible slowdown in the economy, but at the same time stimulate the BoE's caution in making rate decisions. This creates pressure on the pound, but continued optimism about its future strength supports it against the yen.On the Japanese side, the yen (JPY) continues to weaken due to the sustained soft monetary policy of the Bank of Japan (BoJ). Despite discussions on the possibility of adjusting interest rates, the BoJ continues to maintain ultra-low rates, which puts pressure on the yen. Additionally, the weakness of the Japanese economy, associated with low domestic demand and slowing exports, also contributes to the weakening of the JPY. As a result, traders prefer to sell the yen, which leads to an increase in the GBP/JPY pair.Resistance levels: 190.00, 191.50.Support levels: 188.00, 186.50.AUD/NZD: the pair is declining amid expectations of the RBNZ meetingAs of August 13, 2024, the AUD/NZD currency pair shows a slight decrease, trading around 1.0929, which is 0.05% lower compared to the previous close. The pair's move comes against the backdrop of the upcoming meeting of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ), which will be a key event this week.The economic situation in Australia remains difficult. Recent data on the consumer price index and retail sales indicate a slowdown in economic activity. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) continues to take a cautious approach to changing interest rates, which puts pressure on the Australian dollar (AUD). It is expected that the published data on consumer confidence and wage growth will also not provide significant support for AUD, given the current economic conditions.On the other hand, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) remains under market scrutiny ahead of the RBNZ decision. At the moment, the central bank of New Zealand is likely to keep the interest rate at 5.5% for the ninth meeting in a row. However, the ongoing economic uncertainty and the risk of a possible rate cut in the future continue to have an impact on the NZD. Strong labor market indicators and stable inflation play into the hands of the New Zealand dollar, but the market is anxiously awaiting further steps by RBNZ.Resistance levels: 1.0975, 1.1028.Support levels: 1.0880, 1.0844.Platinum market analysisAs of August 13, 2024, the price of platinum continues to remain under pressure, trading around the $920 per ounce mark, which is close to the lows recorded since the beginning of April. The decline in platinum prices is due to several key factors, including a decrease in demand from the automotive industry and an increase in the volume of recycling of secondary raw materials.The economic situation in the world has a negative impact on the demand for platinum, especially in the automotive industry, which is the largest consumer of this metal. Slowing car sales amid global economic problems is reducing demand for platinum, despite stricter environmental regulations. Automakers are switching to using cheaper palladium to meet emissions requirements, which further reduces the need for platinum.In addition, there is a decrease in investor interest. In recent years, the volume of investments in platinum through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has decreased by more than 20%, due to rising interest rates and competition from other precious metals such as palladium and rhodium. The strengthening of the US dollar is also putting pressure on platinum prices, making it more expensive for foreign buyers.Resistance levels: $950, $1000.Support levels: $900, $880.Coffee market analysisAs of August 13, 2024, coffee prices continue to show increased volatility, trading around $2.33 per pound of Arabica, reflecting a 2.1% increase since the end of July. The main factors influencing the cost of coffee are weather conditions and changes in global supply.The economic situation in key producing countries such as Brazil and Vietnam has a significant impact on the market. In Brazil, the effects of the dry season in the Minas Gerais region are continuing, which has led to a decrease in crop forecasts for 2024/25. At the same time, Vietnam, the largest producer of robusta, is increasing production volumes, which may ease pressure on robusta prices, but continues to support Arabica prices. Despite the increase in supply, prices remain high due to concerns about the future harvest amid the continuing risk of climatic anomalies such as El Nino.On the other hand, the demand for coffee is also growing, especially against the background of the trend towards a healthy lifestyle and the preference for natural drinks among consumers. This supports a steady demand for Arabica, despite rising prices. However, a possible global economic downturn could weaken consumption and affect overall demand, which is also an important factor for future prices.Resistance levels: $2.40, $2.50.Support levels: $2.25, ...

USD/CHF: Swiss Central Bank issues Quarterly Economic ReviewWith the strengthening of the US dollar, the USD/CHF currency pair is experiencing a correction, being at the level of 0.9026, and feels the influence of the latest decisions of the Swiss National Bank regarding monetary policy.In the latest quarterly report published by the bank, the main focus was on reducing the interest rate from 1.75% to 1.50% due to the stability of inflationary trends. Economic growth is expected to reach 1.0% in 2024, which corresponds to the current soft direction of monetary policy. Inflation fell to 1.2% in February at an annual level, well below the 2% target limit, and is expected to remain at a similar level throughout the year. The situation in the real estate market is putting pressure, which could potentially lead to a weakening of the Swiss franc in the foreseeable future.Resistance levels: 0.9070, 0.9210.Support levels: 0.8990, 0.8870.USD/CAD: GDP data showed economic growth in the USA and CanadaThe USD/CAD currency pair is at 1.3558, showing a recovery after a fall this week, when the lowest values since March 22 were reached. Market activity is slowing down as the Catholic Easter celebration approaches, leading to the closure of many trading platforms.Today, the US is expected to publish data on the price index of personal consumer spending, which is key for the Federal Reserve System in analyzing inflation and determining monetary policy. The index for February is projected to indicate moderate growth from 0.3% to 0.4% on a monthly basis and from 2.4% to 2.5% year-on-year, with an unchanged base level of 2.8%. Additionally, information on personal income and expenses of Americans for February will be published and a speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will take place.Traders are also focused on the latest data on the GDP of Canada and the United States. The Canadian economy showed growth of 0.6% in January, exceeding forecasts and breaking away from a decline of 0.1% in the previous month. U.S. GDP for the fourth quarter of 2023 was adjusted upward from 3.2% to 3.4% on an annual basis.Resistance levels: 1.3550, 1.3580, 1.3613, 1.3650.Support levels: 1.3524, 1.3500, 1.3450, 1.3400.Platinum market analysisThe trend towards correction in metal prices remains, and this week platinum is holding above the 900.00 mark.A recent report by the World Platinum Investment Council (WPIC) highlighted the ongoing crisis in the industry. Analysts point out that due to low selling prices, platinum production is expected to decrease by 3.0% in 2024, which will lead to a decrease in total production to 5.489 million ounces - the lowest since 2013. Currently, more than a third of mining companies are operating at a loss, with an average loss per ounce estimated at $148. The WPIC report also highlights that South Africa is losing its attractiveness for investment in the platinum sector, which could lead to a decrease in production in this region by 1.0%.Resistance levels: 920.00, 954.00.Support levels: 900.00, 870.00.Crude Oil market analysisPrices for North American WTI Crude Oil are in the process of a sideways correction, settling at 82.69 amid growing geopolitical tensions.The activity of the Houthis from Yemen, carrying out attacks on international vessels in the Gulf of Aden, continues to create problems for maritime transport through the Red Sea, which puts pressure on global oil supplies. A positive impetus for the growth of oil prices is provided by macroeconomic dynamics: China increased oil imports by 5.1%, reaching 88.31 million tons from January to February, while domestic production in the country increased by 2.9% to 35.11 million tons, and refining volumes increased by 3.0% to 118.76 million tons.In the United States, oil reserves are also stabilizing. According to the American Petroleum Institute (API), oil reserves increased by 9.337 million barrels this week compared with a previous decrease of 1.519 million barrels. A similar trend was confirmed by the Energy Information Administration of the U.S. Department of Energy (EIA), which reported an increase in inventories by 3.165 million barrels after a previous decrease of 1.952 million barrels.Resistance levels: 83.60, 87.00.Support levels: 81.40, ...

EUR/GBP: euro is strengthening after a significant drop a day earlierThe EUR/GBP currency pair shows a slight rise, reaching 0.8537, recovering from a noticeable drop a day ago. The drop was caused by the publication of data from the United States confirming the persistence of inflation, which may affect the revision of the time frame for lowering interest rates in the last half of 2024. The February producer price index in the United States accelerated to 1.6% per annum, exceeding analysts' forecasts, and increased monthly by 0.6%, which is significantly higher than expectations. The core index, which excludes the cost of food and energy, also showed an increase of 2.0%, which contradicted the forecast of 1.9%.Meanwhile, in the UK, statistics on the RICS house price index were published, indicating a decrease of 10.0% in February, which is the best result since October last year. The demand index for new housing improved to 6.0. The construction sector is also showing signs of recovery, with an annual growth of 0.7% and a monthly increase of 1.1%. Despite the positive signals from the housing market, uncertainty about the future steps of the Bank of England may limit demand and contribute to a return to a declining trend.Resistance levels: 0.8546, 0.8562, 0.8577, 0.8591.Support levels: 0.8530, 0.8519, 0.8500, 0.8479.NZD/USD: New Zealand currency deepens the decline, reaching the minimum values in MarchThe NZD/USD currency pair continues to fall, activating the "bearish" trend this week and reaching new lows for March. The indicator enters the critical support zone at 0.6100, while positive economic data from New Zealand does not resonate with investors. In particular, the country's manufacturing activity index for February exceeded expectations, rising from 47.5 to 49.3 points.At the same time, rising manufacturing inflation in the United States is putting additional pressure on the New Zealand dollar. The latest report showed an acceleration in the producer price index in the United States from 0.3% to 0.6% in February, significantly exceeding analysts' forecasts. This has increased doubts about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in June, although this outcome remains the preferred scenario in the market.Resistance levels: 0.6130, 0.6158, 0.6183, 0.6200.Support levels: 0.6100, 0.6076, 0.6049, 0.6030.Platinum market analysisThis week, the correction trend continued its influence on the platinum position, bringing the quotes back to the value of 930.00 dollars per ounce.The market situation remains stable: the significant platinum deficit recorded last year, which reached a record 878,000 ounces according to the World Platinum Council (WPIC), is expected to decrease to 418,000 ounces next year, which still exceeds previous forecasts of 353,000 ounces. In the previous year, the total supply of the metal decreased by 2%, and this trend is expected to intensify with a further 1% year-on-year decline, leading to a 6% decrease in total supply over the past five years.Although market estimates seem neutral, the key technical aspect remains significant: the price of palladium exceeded the cost of platinum for eight years, but in February of this year the trend changed, and the difference between the metals temporarily amounted to -47 dollars. Now the price gap has widened again, and the difference between palladium and platinum has again exceeded $ 140. This significant change in profitability over a short period draws investors' attention to such a conservative investment strategy.Resistance levels: 942.00, 989.00.Support levels: 915.00, 876.00.Crude Oil market analysisIn the Asian trading session, the price of WTI crude oil shows uncertainty, hovering around the level of $ 80.60 per barrel, after reaching its highest levels since the beginning of November over the past two days.A significant decrease in the volume of fuel reserves in the United States became a catalyst for growth: fresh statistics from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decrease of 5.521 million barrels per week, exceeding analysts' expectations. These data are confirmed by a report from the Energy Information Administration, which also indicates a decrease in reserves. An additional positive boost was received from OPEC, which approved forecasts for oil demand growth, which reduces concerns about a slowdown in the global economy.Investors today will focus on American industrial production and consumer expectations from the University of Michigan. In the evening, Baker Hughes is expected to report on the number of operating oil platforms in the United States, which may provide new clues about the future direction of oil prices.Resistance levels: 81.00, 82.00, 82.86, 84.27.Support levels: 80.00, 79.07, 78.00, ...